Saturday, November 29, 2025

Made-in-Canada Inflation: Ottawa’s Role and Wab Kinew

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How Canadian Government Policies Drive Inflation and Costs Higher

For many Canadians, a trip to the grocery store or opening a utility bill has become a source of financial stress. The common narrative points to global forces like supply chain disruptions and international conflicts. While these are contributing factors, a deeper look reveals a significant Made-in-Canada inflation problem driven by specific government policies. From federal carbon taxes to provincial spending, domestic decisions are actively fueling the cost-of-living crisis and placing a heavier burden on your wallet.

The Carbon Tax: A Direct Hit to Your Pocketbook

At the forefront of the domestic inflation debate is the federal carbon tax. Designed as a market-based mechanism to reduce greenhouse gas emissions, its financial impact on households is direct and pervasive.

How the Carbon Tax Inflates Costs

The tax is applied to fossil fuels, which immediately increases the price of:

  • Gasoline and Diesel: Every fill-up at the pump is more expensive, a cost that is painfully visible to every driver.
  • Home Heating: Whether you use natural gas, propane, or heating oil, keeping your home warm in winter costs significantly more.
  • Electricity Generation: In provinces that still rely on fossil fuels for power, electricity bills are pushed higher.
  • But the impact doesn’t stop at the source. These increased energy costs create a ripple effect throughout the entire economy. The cost of transporting goods rises, which means the price of everything from food to furniture goes up. Farmers face higher costs for operating machinery and heating barns, which translates into more expensive produce, meat, and dairy at the supermarket. The carbon tax is not a single expense; it is a cost multiplier that compounds the price of nearly every good and service you buy.

    Runaway Government Spending and the Bank of Canada’s Dilemma

    Another critical, and often overlooked, driver of domestic inflation is the scale of federal government spending. During the pandemic, massive support programs were necessary. However, the continuation of deficit spending long after the crisis subsided has injected a vast amount of money into the economy.

    The Link Between Deficits and Your Cost of Living

    When a government spends far more than it collects in revenue, it creates excess demand. Essentially, too much money is chasing a limited supply of goods and services, which naturally pushes prices upward. This excess demand forces the hand of the Bank of Canada. To combat this government-fueled inflation, the Bank must raise interest rates, making it more expensive for Canadians to borrow money for:

  • Mortgages
  • Car loans
  • Business investments
  • This creates a painful squeeze: the government’s spending contributes to the inflation that the central bank must then tame by making it more expensive for you to own a home or finance a vehicle. It’s a vicious cycle where fiscal and monetary policy work at cross-purposes, with households caught in the middle.

    Provincial Policies: Adding Fuel to the Fire

    While the federal government often bears the brunt of the criticism, provincial governments also play a significant role in driving up costs through their own policy choices.

    Case Study: The Manitoba Liquor Mart Trailer

    A recent and symbolic example comes from Manitoba, where Premier Wab Kinew promoted a new “Liquor Mart Trailer.” This mobile unit is designed to bring alcohol sales to festivals and events. While framed as a matter of convenience and economic opportunity, critics argue it represents a state-driven expansion of a vice industry. The government, which holds a monopoly on liquor sales, is actively working to increase consumption of a product that contributes to significant social and health costs. In the context of a cost-of-living crisis, the prioritization of a liquor trailer over initiatives aimed at reducing grocery bills or utility costs raises questions about fiscal and social priorities at the provincial level.

    This is just one illustration of how provincial decisions can be misaligned with the financial pressures facing citizens. Other examples include:

  • Provincial Carbon Taxes: Some provinces have their own pricing schemes that add another layer of cost.
  • Regulatory Hurdles: Interprovincial trade barriers and red tape can increase the cost of doing business, which is ultimately passed on to consumers.
  • Taxation: High provincial sales taxes or other levies directly increase the final price of goods and services.
  • The Combined Burden on Canadian Households

    The danger of these policies is their cumulative effect. A household isn’t just facing the carbon tax in isolation. They are facing the carbon tax plus the inflationary impact of federal deficits plus the costs of provincial policies. This layering of government-driven costs creates a heavy burden that many families are struggling to shoulder. It diminishes disposable income, reduces savings, and lowers the overall standard of living.

    A Path Forward: Rethinking Policy for Affordability

    Addressing this Made-in-Canada inflation requires a fundamental shift in policy thinking. Governments must move beyond blaming global factors and take responsibility for the domestic elements they control. A potential path forward includes:

  • Re-evaluating the Carbon Tax: Pausing or restructuring the planned increases to provide immediate relief at the pump and on home heating bills, especially during an affordability crisis.
  • Exercising Fiscal Restraint: The federal government must rein in deficit spending to stop pouring fuel on the inflationary fire and to ease the pressure on interest rates.
  • Prioritizing Affordability in All Policies: Every new provincial and federal policy should be vetted through an “affordability lens.” Will this make life more or less expensive for the average Canadian?
  • Cutting Red Tape: Reducing regulatory barriers to increase competition and efficiency, thereby putting downward pressure on prices.
  • The high bills Canadians are facing are not an inevitable force of nature. They are, in large part, a direct consequence of political choices. By demanding greater fiscal discipline and policies centered on cost-of-living relief, Canadians can begin to reverse the trend of government-driven inflation and work towards a more affordable future.

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