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Wednesday, January 14, 2026

Mark Carney Must Act Big to Reach $1T Investment Goal in Canada

Date:

How Canada Can Secure $1 Trillion in Climate Investments

The challenge laid before Canada is both monumental and non-negotiable: to attract and deploy an unprecedented $1 trillion in private capital toward building a competitive, clean economy. This isn’t just an environmental imperative; it’s the defining economic opportunity of our generation. While the figure may seem daunting, the path to achieving it isn’t a mystery. It requires moving beyond bold pronouncements and committing to the concrete, sometimes unglamorous, policy and regulatory steps that will give global investors the confidence to place their bets here.

The global race for capital is fierce. The U.S. Inflation Reduction Act is a gravitational force, pulling investment south with its robust, long-term incentives. Europe is aggressively mobilizing its own green industrial strategy. For Canada to compete, we must move with urgency and precision. The goal isn’t just to announce projects, but to create an ecosystem where private finance flows predictably and at scale toward our national priorities.

The Foundation: Policy Certainty and Regulatory Clarity

Investors, above all else, hate uncertainty. A trillion dollars will not materialize based on hope or sporadic announcements. It requires a stable, predictable, and long-term policy framework.

1. Beyond the Carbon Price: A Cohesive Toolkit

While carbon pricing is a cornerstone, it is not a silver bullet. To de-risk clean projects, Canada needs a comprehensive and interoperable set of policies. This includes:

  • Contracts for Difference (CfDs): These are powerful tools that guarantee a fixed price for clean energy or hydrogen, shielding investors from market volatility. By backstopping revenue, the government can unlock massive private investment with a relatively small fiscal footprint.
  • Clear and Accelerated Permitting: World-class projects are stuck in multi-year approval quagmires. We need a “one project, one review” system with strict, enforceable timelines. Predictability in process is as valuable as predictability in price.
  • Coherent Industrial Strategy: Investors need to know which sectors Canada is prioritizing—be it critical minerals, clean hydrogen, or battery manufacturing—and see a whole-of-government approach to supporting them.
  • 2. Fixing the Infrastructure Deficit

    Capital will not flow to projects that can’t connect to the grid or get their product to market. Our electrical grid and transportation corridors require historic expansion and modernization. Public investment here is a catalyst, not a cost. By building the backbone of the clean economy, the government crowds in private investment for the generation, manufacturing, and innovation that sits upon it.

    Mobilizing Capital: The Role of Financial Innovation

    Attracting trillion-dollar scale means tapping into the deep pools of institutional capital—pension funds, insurers, and sovereign wealth funds—that are eager for climate-aligned investments but need the right vehicles.

    1. The “Canada Growth Fund” as a Strategic Catalyst

    This public investment vehicle should act as a first-loss capital provider and market maker. Its role isn’t to fund everything, but to use its balance sheet to absorb early-stage risk in pioneering technologies or projects, making them palatable for traditional private investors. It should be agile, commercially minded, and focused on bridging the toughest financing gaps.

    2. Standardizing Green Finance and Disclosure

    Confusion is the enemy of investment. Canada must champion clear, rigorous standards for what constitutes a “green” or “transition” project. Aligning with international best practices on climate-related financial disclosure ensures capital is allocated efficiently and protects against greenwashing, giving global investors the transparency they demand.

    Building the Competitive Edge: Leveraging Canadian Strengths

    Our strategy cannot be generic. We must double down on our inherent advantages and build unassailable competitive moats in key sectors.

  • Critical Minerals to Batteries: We have the resources. The task is to create an integrated value chain from mine to manufacturing plant here at home. This means pairing mining permits with incentives for onshore processing and battery cell production, capturing more of the staggering economic value.
  • Clean Electricity as a Strategic Asset: With one of the cleanest grids in the world, our electricity is a magnet for industries like green steel, hydrogen, and data centers seeking low-carbon power. We must aggressively expand this clean capacity and build interties to share it across provinces.
  • From Carbon Capture to Carbon Solutions: For hard-to-abate industries, we can be a global testbed. By developing strategic carbon transportation and storage hubs, we turn a liability into a new service industry, attracting investment in industrial projects that can manage their emissions.
  • The Path Forward: From Ambition to Execution

    The $1 trillion goal is a powerful north star. Reaching it, however, is about the granular details of execution. It requires a level of coordination between federal and provincial governments, the public and private sectors, and finance and industry that is rare in Canadian life.

    This is not a task for government alone, nor can the private sector act without clear signals. It is a partnership. The government’s job is to set the rules of the road, de-risk pioneering investments, and build foundational infrastructure. The private sector’s job is to innovate, execute, and deploy capital at scale.

    The transition to a clean economy is the largest capital reallocation in history. Canada has the resources, the financial sophistication, and the technological know-how to be a leader. But potential is not destiny. By moving decisively now to provide the policy certainty, financial ingenuity, and strategic focus that the global market requires, we can secure the investments that will define our prosperity and our environmental legacy for decades to come. The world’s capital is looking for a home. It is our task to make Canada the most compelling and obvious choice.

    Miles Keaton
    Miles Keaton is a Canadian journalist and opinion columnist with 9+ years of experience analyzing national affairs, civil infrastructure, mobility trends, and economic policy. He earned his Communications and Public Strategy degree from the prestigious Dalhousie University and completed advanced studies in media and political economy at the selective York University. Miles writes thought-provoking opinion pieces that provide insight and perspective on Canada’s evolving social, political, and economic landscape.

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