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Thursday, December 18, 2025

Opinion: Too big to fail, too small to save

Date:

The Hidden Crisis of Canada’s Midsize Businesses

In the grand narrative of Canada’s economy, the spotlight often swings between two poles: the towering, systemically important giants and the plucky, numerous startups. We hear constantly about corporations that are “too big to fail” and small businesses hailed as the “backbone” of job creation. But what about the vital engine in between? A quiet, yet profound crisis is unfolding for Canada’s midsize businesses—companies that are, paradoxically, too big to fail for their communities but too small to save in the eyes of national policy.

These are not small home-based operations, nor are they multinational behemoths. They are established, often family-owned or privately held firms with 100 to 500 employees, significant local footprints, and revenues in the tens or hundreds of millions. They are the major employers in smaller cities and towns, the sponsors of local hockey teams, and the training grounds for skilled trades and management. Yet, they are falling through the cracks, facing a perfect storm of challenges that threatens their survival and, by extension, the economic health of regions across the country.

The Policy Blind Spot: Why Midsize Firms Are Overlooked

Government programs are typically designed with clear, broad categories in mind. This binary thinking creates a dangerous blind spot.

For Small Business: Tailored Support

Small business aid is abundant, with features like:

  • Preferential tax rates (the small business deduction).
  • Streamlined loan programs and grants aimed at startups and main street shops.
  • Advocacy groups with powerful, unified voices.
  • For Large Corporations: Systemic Protection

    At the other extreme, large publicly-traded companies have:

  • Direct access to capital markets for equity and debt financing.
  • The attention of federal policymakers due to their scale and perceived importance to GDP.
  • Resources to navigate complex regulations and lobby for their interests.
  • The Midsize Squeeze

    Midsize companies often outgrow the benefits of “small” status but lack the resources and clout of large ones. They lose the small business tax advantage, face exponentially more regulatory complexity, and find that government grant programs are no longer scaled for their operational size. They are in a no-man’s-land of economic policy, expected to compete with giants while being stripped of the support system that helped them grow.

    The Triad of Pressures Crushing Midsize Companies

    Beyond the policy gap, these firms grapple with a confluence of acute operational pressures.

    1. The Capital Crunch: This is perhaps the most severe challenge. Banks can be hesitant to extend the level of credit these companies need for expansion or modernization, viewing them as riskier than blue-chip corporations. Venture capital isn’t a fit for traditional, steady-growth firms. Going public is an expensive, burdensome last resort. This funding gap stifles innovation, prevents investment in productivity-boosting technology, and leaves them vulnerable during downturns.

    2. The Regulatory Avalanche: As companies cross certain employee or revenue thresholds, they are hit with a wave of new compliance requirements—from more complex employment standards and pension rules to environmental reporting. The administrative burden and cost of navigating this red tape can be paralyzing, consuming resources that should go toward growth and innovation.

    3. The Talent and Succession Crisis: Midsize businesses are fiercely competing for talent against both large corporations (with bigger salary budgets and brand recognition) and the allure of flexible startups. Compounding this is the looming succession crisis for many founder-owned firms. With no clear path to transfer ownership, many face the grim prospects of being sold to out-of-town investors or simply shutting down, resulting in a loss of local economic sovereignty.

    The Ripple Effect: What Happens When Midsize Businesses Falter?

    The failure of a major midsize employer in a community is not just a business closure; it’s an economic and social catastrophe.

  • Job Loss Concentration: Unlike the distributed job loss from multiple small business closures, the shuttering of a 300-person plant devastates a town all at once.
  • Supply Chain Collapse: These businesses are anchor clients for dozens of smaller local suppliers and service providers (accountants, IT firms, logistics companies). Their failure triggers a domino effect.
  • Community Erosion: They are pillars of civic life, funding community initiatives, arenas, and charities. Their loss impoverishes the social fabric as much as the economy.
  • Innovation Desert: Midsize firms are crucial for commercializing innovation and adopting new technologies. Their decline makes the entire economy less productive and competitive.
  • Charting a Path Forward: Solutions for the “Forgotten Middle”

    Addressing this crisis requires a deliberate shift in thinking from policymakers, financial institutions, and business leaders themselves.

    1. Policy Innovation for the Middle

    Governments must move beyond the small/large binary. This could involve:

  • Creating a graduated phase-out of small business benefits, not a cliff-edge cutoff.
  • Designing loan guarantee programs or investment funds specifically tailored to the capital needs of scaling, established firms.
  • Offering regulatory “on-ramps” and support to help companies navigate growth thresholds.
  • 2. Financial Sector Adaptation

    Banks and credit unions need to develop specialized lending arms that understand the unique risk profile and potential of midsize businesses. Encouraging more patient, private capital from pension funds and insurance companies into this sector could provide a stable alternative to volatile equity markets.

    3. Strategic Consolidation and Collaboration

    Midsize businesses should explore strategic mergers with peers to achieve the scale needed to compete, invest, and manage costs. Industry associations for this segment must also amplify their collective voice to advocate for their specific needs.

    4. Proactive Succession Planning

    Owners must treat succession as a strategic priority years in advance, exploring options like Employee Stock Ownership Plans (ESOPs) or management buyouts to preserve legacy and local ownership.

    Conclusion: An Urgent Call for Recognition and Action

    Canada’s economic resilience depends on diversity—not just in industries, but in the size and structure of its firms. The systematic neglect of midsize businesses is a strategic vulnerability. They are the steady engines of regional prosperity, the bridges between startup dreams and corporate power, and the repositories of specialized skills and knowledge.

    Ignoring the “too big to fail, too small to save” dilemma is a choice with severe consequences. It’s time to bring this hidden crisis into the light, recognize the indispensable role of these companies, and build an economic ecosystem that doesn’t just celebrate the small and idolize the big, but actively sustains the vital middle. The health of our communities and the competitiveness of our nation depend on it.

    Miles Keaton
    Miles Keaton is a Canadian journalist and opinion columnist with 9+ years of experience analyzing national affairs, civil infrastructure, mobility trends, and economic policy. He earned his Communications and Public Strategy degree from the prestigious Dalhousie University and completed advanced studies in media and political economy at the selective York University. Miles writes thought-provoking opinion pieces that provide insight and perspective on Canada’s evolving social, political, and economic landscape.

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