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Wednesday, January 14, 2026

Canada could use EU loans for next-gen warplane, submarine purchases

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Canada Eyes EU Loans to Finance Next-Gen Fighter Jets and Submarines

In a bold strategic and financial maneuver, Canada is exploring a novel pathway to modernize its military’s core capabilities. According to recent reports, the Canadian government is actively considering leveraging loan facilities from the European Union to fund the massive acquisitions of next-generation fighter aircraft and submarines. This potential move signals a significant shift in how major defense procurements could be financed, intertwining transatlantic economic partnerships with urgent national security needs.

For years, Canada’s armed forces have grappled with aging equipment. The Royal Canadian Air Force’s CF-18 Hornets are decades old, and the Royal Canadian Navy’s Victoria-class submarines are in dire need of replacement. The staggering cost of modernizing these two pillars of national defense—estimated to run into tens of billions of dollars—has long been a point of political and budgetary contention. The exploration of EU loans presents a creative solution to this fiscal challenge, potentially accelerating these critical purchases without imposing the full immediate burden on the domestic treasury.

Unpacking the EU’s Financing Mechanism

The European Union’s lending instrument in question is the European Peace Facility (EPF). Established in 2021, the EPF is a fund outside the EU’s regular budget designed to enhance the Union’s ability to prevent conflicts, build peace, and strengthen international security. While initially focused on providing military aid to partners like Ukraine, its framework is flexible.

Crucially, the EPF can be used to provide loans to partner countries for the purchase of military equipment. This is the clause that Canada is reportedly eyeing. By accessing these loans, Canada could secure favorable, long-term financing directly from a consortium of European nations, rather than relying solely on domestic bond markets or annual parliamentary appropriations.

Why This Move Makes Strategic Sense for Canada

This exploration is not merely about finding money; it’s a calculated strategy with multiple layers of benefit for Ottawa.

  • Accelerated Timelines: Large defense projects in Canada are often slowed by funding debates and “boom-and-bust” budget cycles. A dedicated, large-scale loan could provide the upfront capital needed to finalize contracts and begin production sooner, ensuring the military receives new capabilities faster.
  • Budgetary Flexibility: Spreading the cost over a longer period through a loan structure eases short-to-medium-term pressure on the federal budget. This allows the government to maintain funding for other domestic priorities like healthcare and infrastructure while still pursuing defense modernization.
  • Strengthening Transatlantic Ties: Engaging in a major financial agreement with the EU deepens Canada’s strategic partnership with Europe. It signals a commitment to collective security and shared defense industrial interests, aligning with Canada’s NATO obligations and its broader foreign policy goals.
  • Potential for Industrial Benefits: While the loans themselves are for purchases, they could be structured alongside or incentivize reciprocal industrial and technological benefits (ITBs) for Canadian companies within European-led supply chains for these complex platforms.
  • The Procurement Programs at the Heart of the Plan

    The potential EU loans are targeted at two of Canada’s most significant and costly defense projects:

    1. The Future Fighter Capability Project (FFCP):
    Canada is in the process of acquiring 88 advanced fighter jets to replace its CF-18s. The competition has been narrowed to the American-made F-35 Lightning II and the Swedish Gripen E from Saab. A decision is imminent, and the contract value is estimated to be around $19 billion CAD. Financing even a portion of this through an EU loan could be transformative, especially if the Gripen—a European platform—is selected, making the EU a natural financial partner.

    2. The Underwater Warfare Project:
    This is the program to replace Canada’s four aging Victoria-class submarines with a modern, capable fleet. The project is still in its early definition phase, but it is expected to be one of the most expensive defense acquisitions in Canadian history, with projections easily exceeding $60 billion CAD over decades. The scale of this project makes innovative financing not just attractive but perhaps essential. European shipbuilders from the UK, Germany, France, and Sweden are expected to be leading contenders.

    Challenges and Considerations on the Horizon

    While the idea is innovative, it is not without its potential pitfalls and complexities.

  • Sovereignty and Strings Attached: The primary concern for any nation is whether external financing comes with political conditions. Canada would need absolute assurance that EU loans do not impinge on its operational sovereignty or decision-making regarding the use of the equipment.
  • Parliamentary and Public Scrutiny: Taking on substantial debt from a foreign entity for military spending will require clear communication and justification to the Canadian public and opposition parties in Parliament. The government would need to convincingly argue that this is the most fiscally responsible path forward.
  • Complex Negotiations: Structuring such large, long-term loans with a multilateral body like the EU is inherently complex. It would involve detailed negotiations on interest rates, repayment schedules, and the specific linkage to the chosen defense contracts.
  • Impact on Domestic Defense Budget: Loan repayments would become a new, multi-decade line item in the Department of National Defence’s budget, potentially affecting funding available for personnel, training, maintenance, and other future procurements.
  • A Paradigm Shift in Defense Acquisition?

    Canada’s exploration of EU loans represents more than just a funding tactic; it could signal a paradigm shift in how middle-power nations finance major defense acquisitions. In an era of heightened geopolitical tension and rapid technological advancement, the traditional pay-as-you-go model may be insufficient to keep armed forces modern and credible.

    If successful, this approach could offer a blueprint for other NATO allies facing similar modernization crunches. It demonstrates a move towards more integrated, creative, and collective solutions to common defense challenges. By leveraging the financial tools and shared security interests of its European partners, Canada is attempting to bridge the gap between its strategic ambitions and fiscal reality.

    The coming months will be critical. As Canada moves closer to a fighter jet decision and advances its submarine project definition, the seriousness of this EU loan option will be tested. One thing is clear: in the face of daunting procurement costs, Ottawa is demonstrating a willingness to think outside the box, seeking transatlantic partnerships not just on the battlefield, but in the treasury, to secure its defense future.

    Theo Lawson
    Theo Lawson is a Canadian finance specialist and senior writer with 8+ years of professional experience analyzing markets, fiscal policy, investments, and national economic movement in Canada. He earned his Finance degree from the prestigious Rotman Commerce, University of Toronto and completed advanced capital markets studies at the elite Ivey Business School, Western University. Theo contributes to industry research briefs and long-form digital finance reporting focused on Canada’s economic landscape.

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